Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:47:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
06 0x06ba…9e54 crypto 747 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (107 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$15 (-1%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate92%690W / 57L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day106.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$4
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (107 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 434 -0.9% -10.3% 94% 7% -10.1%
≤30d 747 -1.5% -10.9% 92% 10% -10.9%
≤90d 747 -1.5% -10.9% 92% 10% -10.9%
all 747 -1.5% -10.9% 92% 10% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover106.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 10% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 2% -19.5%
15% -27.2% 1% -27.2%
20% -34.3% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses690 / 57
Open positions0
Markets (closed)747 / 747
History coverage11d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day106.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 747 Trades
no open positions (43 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1900 history records