Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:01:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06a8…0407
crypto · 1391 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$4,016 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,840 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,840
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses944 / 561
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1505 / 1391
History coverage21d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day107.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1505 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,880
7 days−$1,887
14 days−$1,838
30 days−$1,840
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-34.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 438 -86.0% -87.3% 13% 1% -67.9%
≤30d 1505 -27.4% -34.3% 63% 2% -16.7%
≤90d 1505 -27.4% -34.3% 63% 2% -16.7%
all 1505 -27.4% -34.3% 63% 2% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover107.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.3% 2% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -40.6% 2% -24.7%
15% -46.3% 1% -31.9%
20% -51.6% 1% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records