Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x069e…2f84
crypto · 532 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$522 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$522 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$522
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses302 / 230
Open positions0
Markets (closed)532 / 532
History coverage603d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 532 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days+$3
14 days−$192
30 days−$286
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$553
other 2% +$10
politics 1% +$6
finance 0% +$28
sports 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 -3.5% -12.7% 53% 46% -9.4%
≤30d 456 -4.5% -13.6% 54% 45% -18.8%
≤90d 456 -4.5% -13.6% 54% 45% -18.8%
all 532 -5.2% -14.2% 57% 43% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 43% -14.0%
10% -22.4% 33% -22.2%
15% -29.9% 27% -29.7%
20% -36.8% 7% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.93 · official $0.00 (match) · 1549 history records