Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x069c…cf63
crypto · 461 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$964 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$967 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 2 History 459 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$967
7 days+$967
14 days+$967
30 days+$967
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $30 $47 +$17 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 61¢ 81¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 43¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$16 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$10 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$39 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$15 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$28 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$29 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$31 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$84 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$20 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$14 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$77 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$13 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$15 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$83 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$20 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$45 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$23 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$36 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$21 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$46 +111%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$14 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$6 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$8 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$126 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$39 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$37 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $155 +$57 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$31 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$964
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 459 +11.4% +0.8% 56% 49% -5.9%
≤30d 459 +11.4% +0.8% 56% 49% -5.9%
≤90d 459 +11.4% +0.8% 56% 49% -5.9%
all 459 +11.4% +0.8% 56% 49% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3039.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.8% 49% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -8.8% 43% -14.9%
15% -17.6% 34% -23.1%
20% -25.7% 27% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.01 · official $59.02 (match) · 3500 history records