Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:11:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x069a…1df2
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$13 +85%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses4 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +102%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 87% +$13
crypto 13% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+40.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +54.7% +40.0% 80% 60% +69.8%
≤30d 5 +54.7% +40.0% 80% 60% +69.8%
≤90d 5 +54.7% +40.0% 80% 60% +69.8%
all 5 +54.7% +40.0% 80% 60% +69.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +40.0% 60% +69.8%
10% +26.6% 40% +53.6%
15% +14.4% 40% +38.7%
20% +3.1% 40% +25.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records