trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +102% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | SELL Down | 54¢ | $1 | 30m |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY Down | 52¢ | $1 | 31m |
| Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | SELL Down | 60¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY Down | 50¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | SELL Yes | 3¢ | $3 | 5h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 99¢ | $10 | 5h |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | BUY Yes | 3¢ | $3 | 24h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 48¢ | $5 | 26h |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $13 | 27h |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 38¢ | $5 | 32h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +54.7% | +40.0% | 80% | 60% | +69.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +54.7% | +40.0% | 80% | 60% | +69.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +54.7% | +40.0% | 80% | 60% | +69.8% |
| all | 5 | +54.7% | +40.0% | 80% | 60% | +69.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +40.0% | 60% | +69.8% |
| 10% | +26.6% | 40% | +53.6% |
| 15% | +14.4% | 40% | +38.7% |
| 20% | +3.1% | 40% | +25.1% |