Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T15:19:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
06 0x068c…b8b5 politics 30 markets active 2h ago coverage 88d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$8 (-0%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 30L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$301per market
Trades / day1.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit61%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 62% −$5
politics 29% −$3
sports 8% −$2
world 1% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 4 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 30 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 30 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$692) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

88d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage88d
Avg bet$301
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 30 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 28 $42 $0 -0%
Will Donna Vekić be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 28 $30 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? Jun 28 $1,192 $0 +0%
Will McCartney Kessler be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 28 $1,157 −$1 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? May 17 $59 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 17 $38 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 17 $26 $0 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 14 $37 $0 -0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 14 $38 $0 -0%
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? May 14 $692 −$1 -0%
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 14 $46 $0 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 14 $691 $0 +0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 13 $725 −$1 -0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 13 $16 $0 -2%
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 May 13 $60 $0 -0%
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 13 $735 −$1 -0%
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? May 13 $693 −$1 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? May 12 $681 −$1 -0%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? May 12 $41 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 12 $737 −$1 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 12 $695 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Apr 09 $134 $0 -0%
2026 Balance of Power: Other Apr 09 $28 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 08 $20 $0 -0%
Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 04 $148 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Apr 04 $28 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 04 $38 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 01 $145 $0 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 01 $23 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 01 $29 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in SELL No 100¢ $42 1h
Will Donna Vekić be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 99¢ $30 1h
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in BUY No 100¢ $11 2h
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in BUY No 100¢ $14 2h
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in BUY No 100¢ $17 2h
Will Donna Vekić be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 99¢ $15 3h
Will McCartney Kessler be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 100¢ $876 3h
Will McCartney Kessler be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 100¢ $280 3h
Will Donna Vekić be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 99¢ $15 3h
Will McCartney Kessler be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 100¢ $1,157 3h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? SELL No 100¢ $59 41d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $38 41d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? BUY No 100¢ $59 41d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $14 41d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $17 42d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 42d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $21 42d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $26 42d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $37 44d
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $38 44d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $37 44d
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $38 44d
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? SELL No 100¢ $691 45d
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $46 45d
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $25 45d
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? BUY No 100¢ $651 45d
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $12 45d
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $9 45d
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? BUY No 100¢ $14 45d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $523 45d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 88 history records