Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T18:53:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
06 0x0686…81b9 crypto 1081 markets active 1h ago coverage 90d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,707 (+1%) realized +$1,707 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate88%952W / 129L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown21%max
Avg bet$237per market
Trades / day22.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$124
7 days+$453
14 days+$988
30 days+$1,496
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,742
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -1.3% -10.7% 98% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 137 +0.3% -9.3% 99% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 1035 -8.6% -17.3% 89% 1% -8.9%
all 1081 -8.7% -17.4% 88% 2% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 2% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 1% -17.6%
15% -32.5% 0% -25.6%
20% -39.2% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -18% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$9 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.55 per $1 lost it wins $2.55
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

90d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,707
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses952 / 129
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1081 / 1081
History coverage90d
Avg bet$237
Trades / day22.9
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1081 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 20 $287 −$287 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 20 $2,330 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $2,478 +$24 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $625 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 19 $2,451 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 19 $2,429 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $2,264 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $636 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $2,382 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $1,397 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $272 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $2,344 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $2,311 +$28 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $2,297 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $2,277 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $2,257 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $2,235 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $2,196 +$31 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $2,184 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $2,084 +$20 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $2,144 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $2,125 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $2,107 +$20 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $2,086 +$20 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $2,070 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $96 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $2,036 +$27 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $1,371 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $2,009 +$20 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $1,810 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $1,972 +$20 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $1,936 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $110 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $656 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1,931 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,055 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,903 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1,882 +$20 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1,867 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $788 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $884 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1,836 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,820 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1,801 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,784 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1,769 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1,754 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1,739 +$16 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $287 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $133 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,272 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,638 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3351 history records