Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:24:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0681…f713
crypto · 19 markets active 1d ago
0.0score
−$549,577 -429%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$542,413 · open −$7,164
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,668
Realized−$542,413
Unrealized−$7,164
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses6 / 64
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)70 / 19
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6,738
Trades / day3494.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$547,677
7 days−$542,413
14 days−$542,413
30 days−$542,413
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Yes 14¢ 6¢ $6,523 $2,923 −$3,599 (-55%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June? Yes 27¢ 22¢ $3,471 $2,797 −$674 (-19%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Yes 10¢ 2¢ $3,420 $760 −$2,660 (-78%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $83 $73 −$10 (-12%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June? Yes 18¢ 10¢ $109 $64 −$44 (-41%)
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $227 $51 −$176 (-77%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 15? No 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 3? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $8,473 $0 −$8,473 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 6? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1,672 $0 −$1,672 (-100%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $6,142 $0 −$6,142 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $17,887 $0 −$17,887 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $29,119 $0 −$29,119 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1,559 $0 −$1,559 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $256 $0 −$256 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $49,651 $0 −$49,651 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 4? No 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 3? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $11,147 $0 −$11,147 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $10,221 $0 −$10,221 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $387 $0 −$387 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14? No 5¢ 0¢ $1,202 $0 −$1,202 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4? No 2¢ 0¢ $1,840 $0 −$1,840 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $14,004 $0 −$14,004 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 10? No 23¢ 0¢ $14,266 $0 −$14,266 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15? No 15¢ 0¢ $1,125 $0 −$1,125 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 15? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 3? Jun 12 $8,473 −$8,473 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 6? Jun 12 $1,672 −$1,672 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 12 $6,142 −$6,142 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Jun 12 $17,887 −$17,887 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $256 −$256 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 4? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 3? Jun 12 $11,147 −$11,147 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 12 $10,221 −$10,221 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $387 −$387 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14? Jun 12 $1,202 −$1,202 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $1,840 −$1,840 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 10? Jun 12 $14,266 −$14,266 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15? Jun 12 $1,125 −$1,125 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 12 $2,308 −$2,308 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 9? Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4? Jun 12 $119 −$119 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $422 −$422 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $237 −$237 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $189,079 −$189,254 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 12 $24,747 −$24,747 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 12 $2,945 −$2,945 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $286 −$286 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $30,158 −$30,158 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 19? Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of May 11 2026? Jun 12 $715 −$715 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15? Jun 12 $1,133 −$1,133 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4? Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? Jun 12 $592 −$592 -100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 11 2026? Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15? Jun 12 $1,049 −$1,049 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14? Jun 12 $739 −$739 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May? Jun 12 $131 −$131 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $200? Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3? Jun 12 $75,186 −$75,186 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3,131 −$3,131 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $4,863 −$4,863 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 4? Jun 12 $495 −$495 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 12 $23,811 −$23,811 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 9? Jun 12 $932 −$932 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? Jun 12 $510 −$510 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 3? Jun 12 $921 −$921 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026? Jun 12 $750 −$750 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 15? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $817 −$817 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$100,072
other 10% −$7,164
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $7 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-80.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -78.2% -80.3% 9% 9% -89.5%
≤30d 70 -78.2% -80.3% 9% 9% -89.5%
≤90d 70 -78.2% -80.3% 9% 9% -89.5%
all 70 -78.2% -80.3% 9% 9% -89.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3494.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -80.3% 9% -89.5%
10% -82.2% 9% -90.5%
15% ← realistic here -83.9% 9% -91.4%
20% -85.5% 9% -92.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,668.19 · official $6,668.19 (match) · 3500 history records