Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:56:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0675…6680
crypto · 67 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses37 / 29
Open positions1
Markets (closed)66 / 67
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day212.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 13¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 36¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 22¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 33¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 30¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 11¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 15¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $0 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -20.6% -28.1% 56% 42% -15.0%
≤30d 66 -20.6% -28.1% 56% 42% -15.0%
≤90d 66 -20.6% -28.1% 56% 42% -15.0%
all 66 -20.6% -28.1% 56% 42% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover212.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.1% 42% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -35.0% 15% -23.1%
15% -41.3% 8% -30.6%
20% -47.0% 8% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $2.48 · 272 history records