Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x066d…1bff
sports · 160 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,146 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$895 · open −$88
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$895
Unrealized−$88
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses81 / 77
Est. fees paid−$243
Open positions2
Markets (closed)158 / 160
History coverage68d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day17.1
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 158 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$222
7 days−$482
14 days−$1,054
30 days+$1,001
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 1¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-96%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) G2 Esports 55¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 96¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 57¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 31¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 62¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 32¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Sentinels 31¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winner EDward Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season RED Academy 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 23¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 52¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 30¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner Team WE 56¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 14¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Fnatic 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner Gen.G Global Academy 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs Estral Esports 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Team WE 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Fluxo W7M 27¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $283 −$159 -56%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $76 +$127 +167%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$3 +5%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $127 −$75 -59%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $134 −$16 -12%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $156 +$1 +0%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $269 −$34 -13%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $180 +$1 +1%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $159 −$20 -12%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $275 +$8 +3%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $108 +$9 +9%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$4 +8%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $99 +$66 +67%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $92 +$49 +53%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $205 +$2 +1%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $52 −$27 -52%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $108 +$25 +24%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $54 −$53 -99%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $263 +$18 +7%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $75 −$24 -32%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $100 −$50 -50%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $67 +$5 +7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $50 −$39 -78%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $69 −$68 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $98 −$94 -97%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $35 +$38 +110%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $54 −$53 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $75 −$75 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $51 −$41 -80%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $50 +$71 +142%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $68 −$67 -99%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $30 +$1 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $50 −$50 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 03 $76 −$75 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $102 +$97 +96%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $48 +$2 +4%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $111 −$98 -88%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $73 −$39 -53%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $49 +$47 +97%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winner May 31 $126 −$124 -98%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner May 31 $44 −$44 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 31 $71 −$69 -97%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner May 31 $60 +$89 +149%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner May 30 $74 −$74 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$858
other 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 100¢ $101 53m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $72 59m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $5 59m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $3 59m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $19 59m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 4¢ $2 59m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $6 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 4¢ $13 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 1¢ $26 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 1¢ $26 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 29¢ $7 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 28¢ $12 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 28¢ $12 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 29¢ $5 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 29¢ $13 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 50¢ $5 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 50¢ $3 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 51¢ $25 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 51¢ $25 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 48¢ $25 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 50¢ $17 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 50¢ $8 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 66¢ $203 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 67¢ $13 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 72¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -21.2% -28.7% 52% 16% -22.7%
≤30d 136 +8.6% -1.7% 54% 35% -1.5%
≤90d 158 +2.1% -7.6% 51% 34% -2.2%
all 158 +2.1% -7.6% 51% 34% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.6% 34% -2.2%
10% -16.4% 32% -11.5%
15% -24.5% 30% -20.1%
20% -31.9% 27% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.55 · official $0.55 (match) · 1192 history records