Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x066b…0060
crypto · 591 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$213 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$213 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$213
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses401 / 190
Open positions0
Markets (closed)591 / 591
History coverage108d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 591 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$0
14 days−$10
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 45% −$12
world 25% +$1
crypto 16% −$47
other 13% −$155
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -0.7% -10.1% 80% 80% -9.4%
≤30d 558 -5.2% -14.3% 67% 65% -12.8%
≤90d 590 -5.4% -14.4% 68% 63% -14.4%
all 591 -5.4% -14.4% 68% 63% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 63% -14.4%
10% -22.6% 29% -22.6%
15% -30.1% 5% -30.1%
20% -36.9% 2% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1295 history records