| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? |
Jun 16 |
$1,548 |
+$21 |
+1% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? |
Jun 12 |
$7,802 |
+$351 |
+4% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? |
Jun 12 |
$20 |
+$30 |
+144% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? |
Jun 12 |
$9,562 |
+$2,845 |
+30% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? |
Jun 03 |
$105 |
+$20 |
+19% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait o |
Jun 03 |
$4 |
+$1 |
+12% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? |
Jun 02 |
$11 |
−$11 |
-100% |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of |
Jun 02 |
$21,770 |
+$5,227 |
+24% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? |
May 25 |
$1,882 |
−$1,882 |
-100% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? |
May 25 |
$754 |
−$754 |
-100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? |
May 25 |
$1,000 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? |
May 25 |
$87 |
−$87 |
-100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? |
May 25 |
$21,610 |
+$576 |
+3% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? |
May 25 |
$2,400 |
−$2,400 |
-100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? |
May 25 |
$5,973 |
+$1,045 |
+18% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? |
May 23 |
$35 |
−$35 |
-100% |
| Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? |
May 17 |
$8,995 |
+$693 |
+8% |
| Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? |
May 17 |
$6,154 |
+$3,050 |
+50% |
| Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? |
May 17 |
$2,561 |
+$901 |
+35% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? |
May 16 |
$1,538 |
−$425 |
-28% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by May 31, 2026? |
May 16 |
$1,026 |
+$134 |
+13% |
| Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? |
May 16 |
$539 |
+$81 |
+15% |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? |
May 14 |
$1,045 |
−$286 |
-27% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele |
May 12 |
$1,484 |
−$104 |
-7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele |
May 10 |
$247 |
−$27 |
-11% |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? |
May 09 |
$936 |
−$786 |
-84% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? |
May 02 |
$570 |
+$370 |
+65% |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? |
May 01 |
$430 |
+$50 |
+12% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? |
May 01 |
$797 |
+$232 |
+29% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? |
May 01 |
$347 |
+$333 |
+96% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? |
Apr 29 |
$12,808 |
+$755 |
+6% |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15%+? |
Apr 22 |
$55 |
−$55 |
-100% |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? |
Apr 22 |
$6,073 |
+$1,223 |
+20% |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungaria |
Apr 17 |
$3,406 |
+$526 |
+16% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? |
Apr 07 |
$6,822 |
+$3,192 |
+47% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? |
Apr 04 |
$1,126 |
−$664 |
-59% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? |
Apr 01 |
$3,843 |
−$220 |
-6% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? |
Mar 20 |
$1,845 |
+$48 |
+3% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? |
Mar 15 |
$829 |
+$21 |
+2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? |
Mar 15 |
$1,312 |
+$118 |
+9% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? |
Mar 13 |
$3,369 |
+$44 |
+1% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? |
Mar 13 |
$1,463 |
+$271 |
+18% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? |
Mar 12 |
$1,287 |
+$201 |
+16% |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30? |
Mar 12 |
$860 |
+$140 |
+16% |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? |
Mar 04 |
$1,715 |
+$735 |
+43% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? |
Mar 03 |
$2,407 |
+$11,235 |
+467% |
| Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? |
Mar 01 |
$168 |
+$13 |
+8% |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? |
Feb 23 |
$12 |
−$12 |
-100% |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? |
Feb 23 |
$1,908 |
+$47 |
+2% |
| Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more? |
Jan 29 |
$332 |
−$283 |
-85% |