Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:58:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0665…adb3
crypto · 24 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$413 -85%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$413 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$413
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses11 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)24 / 24
History coverage383d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $417 $0 −$417 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? May 26 $417 −$417 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 86% −$417
crypto 14% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 48% -4.7%
≤30d 23 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 48% -4.7%
≤90d 23 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 48% -4.7%
all 24 -3.5% -12.7% 46% 46% -86.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 46% -86.3%
10% -21.0% 46% -87.6%
15% -28.7% 46% -88.8%
20% -35.7% 46% -89.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 54 history records