Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:38:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0659…d74d
sports · 410 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$163,498 -57%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165,418 · open +$1,910
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,029
Realized−$165,418
Unrealized+$1,910
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses236 / 565
Whale WR (big bets)34%
Est. fees paid−$3,718
Open positions13
Markets (closed)801 / 410
History coverage36d
Avg bet$702
Trades / day89.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 13 History 801 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$179,084
7 days−$176,254
14 days−$169,850
30 days−$169,742
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 64¢ 82¢ $2,124 $2,732 +$608 (+29%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 71¢ 88¢ $1,677 $2,087 +$410 (+24%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) B8 40¢ 100¢ $695 $1,725 +$1,030 (+148%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 66¢ 100¢ $1,011 $1,531 +$520 (+51%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 45¢ 44¢ $180 $178 −$2 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5 Under 64¢ 78¢ $144 $176 +$32 (+22%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 81¢ 82¢ $170 $173 +$3 (+2%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Monte 37¢ 26¢ $229 $162 −$67 (-29%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) TheMongolz 56¢ 100¢ $77 $137 +$60 (+78%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 16¢ 17¢ $97 $106 +$8 (+9%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Under 41¢ 48¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 57¢ 0¢ $696 $1 −$695 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Marsborne 45¢ 82¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Natus Vincere 40¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 39¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs Gaimin Gladiators 43¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Team Spirit 62¢ 0¢ $1,092 $0 −$1,092 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
LoL: KIA.eSuba Academy vs Meavedron (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage Meavedron 71¢ 0¢ $169 $0 −$169 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5) Legacy 47¢ 0¢ $332 $0 −$332 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Team Liquid 47¢ 0¢ $1,486 $0 −$1,486 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) Top Esports 51¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Will Australia win? No 42¢ 0¢ $559 $0 −$559 (-100%)
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner GamerLegion 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage AVULUS 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Play Jun 13 $295 −$295 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 13 $1,092 −$1,092 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $61 −$60 -98%
LoL: KIA.eSuba Academy vs Meavedron (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Sta Jun 13 $169 −$169 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5) Jun 13 $332 −$332 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Jun 13 $1,486 −$1,486 -100%
Will Australia win? Jun 13 $559 −$559 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$17 -411%
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $605 −$605 -100%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,186 −$1,186 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO1) Jun 13 $221 −$221 -100%
Game Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs OKSavingsBank BRION (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,696 −$1,696 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Valorant: CTRL Esports vs UNIWAY (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B Jun 13 $0 +$9 +4777%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,151 −$1,151 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) Jun 13 $115 −$111 -96%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $94 −$92 -98%
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5) Jun 13 $240 −$240 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5) Jun 13 $1,277 −$1,395 -109%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $862 −$862 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,057 −$1,057 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $460 −$460 -100%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,368 −$1,368 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -106%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) Jun 13 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2,068 −$2,068 -100%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Cl Jun 13 $270 −$270 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $298 −$298 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs strongboys (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Jun 13 $91 −$91 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 G Jun 13 $914 −$914 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $311 −$311 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $658 −$658 -100%
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Passion UA (BO3) Jun 13 $629 −$629 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $264 −$264 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $907 −$907 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $142 −$142 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$22,392
other 1% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 45¢ $183 20m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $4 28m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $21 30m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $21 54m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 38¢ $98 1h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 37¢ $131 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Marsborne 45¢ $0 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $105 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 SELL Under 50¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 66¢ $21 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 66¢ $330 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 66¢ $660 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $4 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Under 21¢ $2 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $4 2h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half SELL No 83¢ $1,855 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 65¢ $36 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 67¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 67¢ $29 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 63¢ $64 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 60¢ $270 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $52 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 56¢ $560 3h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 41¢ $4 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 41¢ $1 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 38¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-46.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 512 -68.7% -71.6% 13% 11% -74.7%
≤30d 736 -44.3% -49.6% 28% 25% -47.8%
≤90d 801 -40.6% -46.2% 29% 27% -42.7%
all 801 -40.6% -46.2% 29% 27% -42.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.2% 27% -42.7%
10% -51.4% 23% -48.2%
15% ← realistic here -56.1% 20% -53.2%
20% -60.4% 16% -57.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,029.13 · official $9,028.68 (match) · 3500 history records