Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:38:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
06 0x0657…0fa2 crypto 338 markets active 6d ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (247 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,723 (-195%) realized −$4,723 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate36%121W / 217L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day247.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$355
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (247 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-27.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -27.0% -34.0% 36% 34% -27.5%
≤30d 338 -19.8% -27.4% 36% 33% -22.8%
≤90d 338 -19.8% -27.4% 36% 33% -22.8%
all 338 -19.8% -27.4% 36% 33% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover247.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.4% 33% -22.8%
10% ← realistic here -34.4% 30% -30.2%
15% -40.7% 27% -36.9%
20% -46.5% 22% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -27% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×1.15 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,723
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses121 / 217
Open positions0
Markets (closed)338 / 338
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day247.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 338 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$7 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$8 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$6 +301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$8 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$10 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$7 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records