Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:43:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
06 0x064e…7e1f crypto 101 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (194 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$10 (-10%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate51%52W / 49L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day194.0pace
Kalshi-fit72%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 72% −$9
other 28% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (194 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -13.0% -21.3% 52% 23% -21.3%
≤30d 101 -12.2% -20.6% 51% 25% -20.6%
≤90d 101 -12.2% -20.6% 51% 25% -20.6%
all 101 -12.2% -20.6% 51% 25% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover194.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 25% -20.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 7% -28.2%
15% -35.1% 0% -35.1%
20% -41.5% 0% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
52% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.35 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses52 / 49
Open positions0
Markets (closed)101 / 101
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day194.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 101 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -45%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -43%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -31%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -46%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -55%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $0 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 202 history records