Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T02:37:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
06 0x064b…eae5 other 126 markets active 6d ago coverage 70d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 69d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,229 (-1%) realized −$1,229 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -27% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -46% what you keep after slip
Net edge-46%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate47%68W / 78L
Whale WR70%big bets
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$1,855per market
Trades / day48.5pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 70d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% +$989
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-33.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 49 -62.4% -66.0% 14% 2% -19.7%
≤90d 146 -26.6% -33.6% 47% 19% -8.3%
all 146 -26.6% -33.6% 47% 19% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.6% 19% -8.3%
10% -40.0% 9% -17.1%
15% ← realistic here -45.8% 3% -25.1%
20% -51.1% 3% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 30% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
57% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -27% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 70% (≥$1,521) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -9% → late -45% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
16.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$237 vs −$194 · ×1.22 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

70d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,229
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses68 / 78
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)146 / 126
History coverage70d ⚠
Avg bet$1,855
Trades / day48.5
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 146 Trades
no open positions (40 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 23 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 17 $16 −$15 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? Jun 16 $25 −$10 -40%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 16 $8 −$4 -49%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 16 $24 −$7 -28%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 15 $12 −$6 -51%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 15 $50 +$5 +9%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 15 $55 −$10 -19%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 15 $81 −$10 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $34 +$1 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $23 −$3 -11%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $61 −$59 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $953 −$322 -34%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,178 −$38 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $464 −$37 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2,398 −$517 -22%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $210 −$191 -91%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $2,114 +$23 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $731 −$10 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $1,445 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $302 −$237 -79%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $1,154 +$68 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1,083 +$138 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $508 −$58 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1,521 −$4 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? May 31 $742 −$311 -42%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $489 −$25 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 30 $10 +$2 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 6d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 6d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 11d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 11d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 11d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 11d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 11d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $3 12d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 12d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $7 12d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $12 12d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $23 12d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 8¢ $4 12d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 33¢ $12 12d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $8 13d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 13d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 56¢ $21 13d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $8 13d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 56¢ $20 13d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 31¢ $12 13d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $15 13d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 67¢ $33 13d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 13d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 13d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 17¢ $3 13d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $40 13d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $8 13d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 35¢ $14 14d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 14d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records