trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -60.1% | -63.9% | 20% | 20% | -49.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 38% | 31% | +62.5% |
| all | 13 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 38% | 31% | +62.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -4.2% | 31% | +62.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -13.4% | 23% | +46.9% |
| 15% | -21.7% | 23% | +32.7% |
| 20% | -29.4% | 23% | +19.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 6¢ | $1,439 | $2,414 | +$975 (+68%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $2,310 | $2,226 | −$84 (-4%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $1,467 | $1,630 | +$163 (+11%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $800 | $724 | −$76 (-9%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $910 | $608 | −$302 (-33%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $500 | $392 | −$108 (-22%) |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $450 | $206 | −$244 (-54%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $165 | $68 | −$98 (-59%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 12 | $118 | −$115 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $175 | +$26 | +15% |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 11 | $108 | −$106 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $120 | −$18 | -15% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 31 | $27 | −$26 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $308 | +$634 | +206% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 02 | $330 | −$26 | -8% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) | Apr 28 | $669 | +$551 | +82% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 10 | $1,125 | −$10 | -1% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 10 | $2,250 | +$139 | +6% |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 07 | $1,813 | +$5,268 | +291% |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5) | Mar 26 | $210 | −$209 | -100% |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 26 | $190 | −$190 | -100% |