Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0645…5aef
crypto · 1626 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1447 / 178
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1625 / 1626
History coverage119d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1625 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$10
14 days−$20
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? No 93¢ 93¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? No 91¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$44
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 227 -3.0% -12.3% 87% 48% -11.8%
≤30d 449 -2.6% -11.9% 86% 47% -11.9%
≤90d 548 -3.0% -12.3% 86% 41% -12.3%
all 1625 -1.3% -10.7% 89% 17% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 17% -10.6%
10% -19.3% 1% -19.1%
15% -27.1% 0% -27.0%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.44 · official $4.08 (match) · 3500 history records