Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:39:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0641…b99f
crypto · 195 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$87 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses72 / 123
Open positions0
Markets (closed)195 / 195
History coverage16d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 195 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$63
14 days−$88
30 days−$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $3 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$57
other 28% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-30.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -24.6% -31.8% 35% 29% -22.7%
≤30d 195 -22.7% -30.0% 37% 32% -22.9%
≤90d 195 -22.7% -30.0% 37% 32% -22.9%
all 195 -22.7% -30.0% 37% 32% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.0% 32% -22.9%
10% ← realistic here -36.7% 27% -30.3%
15% -42.8% 22% -37.0%
20% -48.4% 19% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 483 history records