Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x063b…eb47
crypto · 18 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$89 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses9 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)17 / 18
History coverage6d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$89
14 days−$89
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 09 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +9%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 09 $50 −$30 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $52 −$31 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 08 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$59
politics 17% −$30
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 11¢ $20 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 5d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 23¢ $41 5d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 34¢ $9 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-30.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -22.8% -30.1% 53% 29% -36.6%
≤30d 17 -22.8% -30.1% 53% 29% -36.6%
≤90d 17 -22.8% -30.1% 53% 29% -36.6%
all 17 -22.8% -30.1% 53% 29% -36.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.1% 29% -36.6%
10% -36.8% 24% -42.7%
15% -42.9% 12% -48.2%
20% -48.5% 6% -53.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.30 · official $1.30 (match) · 41 history records