trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 100% | 0% | -3.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 33% | 0% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 30% | 0% | -11.7% |
| all | 25 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 36% | 4% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 4% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 0% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -34.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $33 | +$2 | +7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 25 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $27 | −$7 | -26% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $9 | −$2 | -21% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $39 | +$1 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 21 | $22 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Dec 16 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? | Jun 06 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Tom Kim win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 07 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 | Apr 06 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Apr 06 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in March? | Apr 06 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government? | Apr 05 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Apr 04 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 03 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 41°F or below on April 2? | Apr 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? | Apr 03 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award? | Apr 01 | $26 | $0 | +0% |