Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:04:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x062f…627b
crypto · 1255 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,603 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,594 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$37
Realized−$2,594
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1232 / 172
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1404 / 1255
History coverage12d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day198.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 1404 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,470
7 days−$2,378
14 days−$2,594
30 days−$2,594
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 95¢ 48¢ $19 $10 −$10 (-50%)
BNB Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -6506%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$22
other 5% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $57 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $17 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $31 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 947 -12.1% -20.5% 84% 3% -21.2%
≤30d 1404 -8.7% -17.4% 88% 3% -18.1%
≤90d 1404 -8.7% -17.4% 88% 3% -18.1%
all 1404 -8.7% -17.4% 88% 3% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover198.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 3% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 0% -25.9%
15% -32.5% 0% -33.1%
20% -39.1% 0% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.33 · official $23.30 · 3500 history records