trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -12.3% | -20.6% | 33% | 33% | -13.7% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -12.3% | -20.6% | 33% | 33% | -13.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -12.3% | -20.6% | 33% | 33% | -13.7% |
| all | 18 | -12.3% | -20.6% | 33% | 33% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.6% | 33% | -13.7% |
| 10% | -28.2% | 33% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -35.2% | 28% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -41.5% | 28% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 63¢ | $115 | $115 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $95 | $90 | −$5 (-6%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $60 | $59 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $55 | $55 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $53 | +$3 (+7%) |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 32¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 22 | $50 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $66 | +$39 | +60% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $71 | +$44 | +62% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | −$41 | -41% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $50 | +$12 | +24% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $51 | −$28 | -55% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $14 | +$7 | +52% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $14 | +$8 | +55% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $63 | +$48 | +76% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $25 | −$9 | -37% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$1 | -18% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $41 | −$27 | -67% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$2 | -10% |