trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 57% | 0% | -7.7% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 47% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 47% | 0% | -8.5% |
| all | 25 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 60% | 0% | -8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 0% | -8.5% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 0% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 0% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 0% | -32.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 15 | $47 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $49 | −$2 | -3% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $22 | +$2 | +10% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $48 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 08 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $43 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 04 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days? | Mar 20 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| USA wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics? | Mar 14 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 12 | $11 | $0 | +3% |