Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x061d…6ada
crypto · 862 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$203 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$203 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses369 / 493
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)862 / 862
History coverage73d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 862 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -31%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -92%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +186%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -14%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $3 $0 -3%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $3 +$2 +56%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $3 $0 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $6 −$3 -48%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 10 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$193
other 4% −$9
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +6.7% -3.5% 57% 57% -7.5%
≤30d 49 +6.7% -3.5% 57% 57% -7.5%
≤90d 862 -7.2% -16.0% 43% 40% -19.6%
all 862 -7.2% -16.0% 43% 40% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 40% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 37% -27.3%
15% -31.4% 34% -34.4%
20% -38.1% 31% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2441 history records