Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0614…b5ab
crypto · 413 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$20
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses199 / 212
Open positions2
Markets (closed)411 / 413
History coverage29d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day32.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 411 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$0
14 days+$23
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 51¢ 42¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Down 38¢ 18¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +283%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$8 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 -2.8% -12.1% 46% 45% -8.8%
≤30d 411 -6.9% -15.8% 48% 42% -10.6%
≤90d 411 -6.9% -15.8% 48% 42% -10.6%
all 411 -6.9% -15.8% 48% 42% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 42% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 38% -19.1%
15% -31.2% 32% -26.9%
20% -37.9% 26% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.54 · official $6.44 · 1014 history records