Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T14:06:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
06 0x060a…d7c0 crypto 148 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3351 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,552 (-13%) realized −$1,552 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -50% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -62% what you keep after slip
Net edge-62%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate20%59W / 229L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$81per market
Trades / day3351.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$134
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3351 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-54.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 288 -50.1% -54.8% 20% 4% -15.2%
≤30d 288 -50.1% -54.8% 20% 4% -15.2%
≤90d 288 -50.1% -54.8% 20% 4% -15.2%
all 288 -50.1% -54.8% 20% 4% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3351.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.8% 4% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -59.2% 1% -23.3%
15% -63.1% 0% -30.7%
20% -66.7% 0% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -50% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -97% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
22.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.24 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,552
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses59 / 229
Open positions0
Markets (closed)288 / 148
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$81
Trades / day3351.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 288 Trades
no open positions (141 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records