Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:29:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0601…46f8
other · 51 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$67 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses10 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)49 / 51
History coverage588d
Avg bet$352
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 2 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 13 $16 $0 +0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $10 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $10 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 26 $10 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 25 $65 $0 -0%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 22 $20 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 21 $10 $0 -0%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey May 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 May 19 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 18 $46 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 18 $45 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $47 $0 -0%
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? May 08 $52 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $50 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $55 $0 -0%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 27 $51 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $52 $0 -0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 21 $56 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $55 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 19 $52 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 19 $53 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 18 $55 $0 -0%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $9 +$7 +83%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 08 $4 −$4 -100%
76ers vs. Spurs Apr 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $15 +$4 +24%
Bruins vs. Panthers Apr 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Penguins vs. Islanders Apr 02 $23 −$23 -100%
Jets vs. Blackhawks Apr 02 $23 −$23 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? Apr 02 $23 $0 +1%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Apr 02 $134 +$2 +2%
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils Mar 30 $23 +$9 +38%
Raptors vs. Clippers Mar 27 $26 +$16 +61%
Nets vs. Kings Mar 25 $17 +$9 +56%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? Mar 05 $4 $0 +1%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 01 $13,556 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 07 $2 $0 -2%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $44 −$1 -2%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 11 $58 −$1 -2%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 07 $18 $0 -0%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 22 $6 $0 -3%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $308 −$2 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 03 $934 −$2 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 03 $1,077 −$2 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 03 $697 −$5 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 76% −$14
politics 17% −$11
other 4% −$5
sports 1% −$39
world 1% +$2
crypto 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? BUY No 100¢ $21 2h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Solana reach $100 in May? BUY No 100¢ $11 17d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $10 22d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 22d
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $16 22d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $10 23d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $10 24d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 24d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey BUY Croatia 11¢ $2 24d
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 SELL No 100¢ $10 25d
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 BUY No 100¢ $10 25d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $46 26d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $46 26d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $45 26d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $45 26d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $47 32d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $47 32d
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ $8 33d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $52 33d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $52 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 12 -8.4% -17.1% 17% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 38 -16.8% -24.7% 24% 13% -12.6%
all 49 -13.2% -21.5% 20% 10% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 10% -9.9%
10% -29.0% 10% -18.5%
15% -35.9% 8% -26.4%
20% -42.1% 6% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.90 · official $26.90 (match) · 242 history records