trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +24.7% | +12.8% | 86% | 71% | -16.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +22.6% | +10.9% | 91% | 73% | -14.9% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +15.7% | +4.7% | 96% | 46% | -14.3% |
| all | 28 | +15.7% | +4.7% | 96% | 46% | -14.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.7% | 46% | -14.3% |
| 10% | -5.3% | 29% | -22.5% |
| 15% | -14.5% | 11% | -30.0% |
| 20% | -22.9% | 11% | -36.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 84¢ | 98¢ | $248 | $289 | +$41 (+17%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $103 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Will Victor Wembanyama be on the cover of NBA 2K27? | Yes | 97¢ | 81¢ | $100 | $84 | −$16 (-16%) |
| Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 90¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Yes | 87¢ | 90¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 80¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 39¢ | 38¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $186 | +$63 | +34% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $118 | +$67 | +57% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,046 | −$928 | -89% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $852 | +$194 | +23% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $801 | +$46 | +6% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $332 | +$89 | +27% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $173 | +$199 | +115% |
| Spread: IK Start (-2.5) | May 25 | $76 | +$22 | +29% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | May 25 | $61 | +$15 | +24% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23? | May 23 | $51 | +$10 | +20% |
| Will Trump announce new sanctions on China? | May 23 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22? | May 17 | $2 | +$3 | +122% |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 13 | $50 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11? | May 11 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | May 04 | $43 | +$7 | +15% |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | May 01 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | May 01 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 01 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 30 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 30 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 14 | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | +11% |