Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05dd…305c
crypto · 293 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$564 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$547 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$898
Realized+$547
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses137 / 152
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)289 / 293
History coverage5d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day594.2
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$211
7 days+$547
14 days+$547
30 days+$547
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 92¢ $859 $875 +$16 (+2%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? No 34¢ 28¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-16%)
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? Yes 26¢ 34¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+32%)
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31? Yes 88¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$17 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$69 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $138 +$113 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$70 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$22 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$65 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $90 +$73 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $64 +$44 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$61 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$60 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$72 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $120 +$74 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$63 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$25 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$13 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $79 +$48 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$19 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$15 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$49 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$49 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$10 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$511
sports 7% +$4
world 5% +$18
other 1% −$1
tech 1% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $12 27m
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $23 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $19 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $20 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $17 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $17 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $18 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 +4.4% -5.6% 47% 38% -7.0%
≤30d 289 +4.4% -5.6% 47% 38% -7.0%
≤90d 289 +4.4% -5.6% 47% 38% -7.0%
all 289 +4.4% -5.6% 47% 38% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover594.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 38% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 37% -15.9%
15% -22.9% 36% -24.0%
20% -30.4% 33% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $897.73 · official $897.73 (match) · 3500 history records