Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:25:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05d9…ba37
crypto · 1209 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$402 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$277 · open −$125
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$277
Unrealized−$125
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses770 / 438
Est. fees paid−$93
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1208 / 1209
History coverage19d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day113.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 1208 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$885
7 days−$1,186
14 days−$442
30 days−$277
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 25¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $284 $0 −$284 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $304 $0 −$304 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $288 $0 −$288 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +33%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $358 +$142 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $191 +$22 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $289 −$289 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$28 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $153 −$150 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $199 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $161 −$158 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $157 −$154 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$4 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $153 −$150 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $181 +$19 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $155 −$152 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$52 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $155 +$62 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $199 −$198 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $159 −$156 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $157 +$63 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $156 −$152 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$14 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $45 +$9 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $326 −$320 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$41 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$47 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$10
sports 13% −$189
other 4% −$205
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $191 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 55m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 94¢ $27 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 25¢ $125 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 71¢ $358 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $70 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $153 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $199 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $161 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $157 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $17 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $153 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $181 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $155 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $53 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 602 -28.4% -35.2% 48% 43% -13.0%
≤30d 1208 -0.3% -9.8% 64% 55% -10.2%
≤90d 1208 -0.3% -9.8% 64% 55% -10.2%
all 1208 -0.3% -9.8% 64% 55% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover113.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 55% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 43% -18.8%
15% -26.3% 35% -26.7%
20% -33.6% 23% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $0.25 (match) · 3500 history records