Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:21:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05d5…8863
sports · 77 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$113 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$262 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$262
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses24 / 51
Est. fees paid−$83
Open positions2
Markets (closed)75 / 77
History coverage20d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$362
7 days−$287
14 days−$444
30 days−$262
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Germany 22¢ 14¢ $26 $17 −$9 (-34%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 14¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 9¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 27¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? No 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 29¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 24¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 13¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 57¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner FlyQuest 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $274 −$248 -90%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $11 +$19 +165%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $164 −$43 -26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$12 +79%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $32 −$32 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $42 −$41 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$6 -64%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 +$139 +355%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $55 −$55 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $42 +$134 +320%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $13 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $11 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $71 −$70 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $44 −$44 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$9 +177%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $39 +$132 +337%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $78 −$76 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $151 +$11 +8%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $117 +$10 +9%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 +$43 +42%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $34 −$25 -73%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $61 +$12 +19%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $47 −$46 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $47 −$36 -76%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 03 $41 −$35 -86%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $12 +$8 +65%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $23 −$1 -5%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $21 −$1 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $23 +$104 +446%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $7 −$6 -95%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $116 +$28 +24%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $149 −$147 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $7 −$7 -97%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 31 $17 +$5 +31%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $14 +$36 +245%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 31 $143 +$21 +15%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 31 $126 +$114 +90%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 29 $4 −$4 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$360
other 2% +$89
world 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 22¢ $27 43m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 2¢ $26 45m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $115 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 44¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $92 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 37¢ $11 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 14¢ $34 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 32¢ $4 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 32¢ $52 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 32¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 32¢ $13 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 32¢ $17 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 31¢ $81 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 32¢ $83 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 7¢ $3 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 67¢ $15 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $15 27h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 47¢ $15 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 55¢ $15 29h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 11¢ $1 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 12¢ $2 31h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 5¢ $4 32h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 43¢ $6 32h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 15¢ $15 32h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 24¢ $7 32h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 7¢ $7 33h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 5¢ $6 33h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $3 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -21.1% -28.6% 21% 21% -39.7%
≤30d 75 -9.7% -18.3% 32% 27% -14.6%
≤90d 75 -9.7% -18.3% 32% 27% -14.6%
all 75 -9.7% -18.3% 32% 27% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.3% 27% -14.6%
10% -26.1% 24% -22.7%
15% -33.2% 21% -30.2%
20% -39.8% 20% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.09 · official $17.09 (match) · 282 history records