Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:56:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05d3…c06a
sports · 1519 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,778 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,696 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$700
Realized−$13,696
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses793 / 831
Est. fees paid−$934
Open positions15
Markets (closed)1624 / 1519
History coverage33d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day97.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 15 History 1624 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18,431
7 days−$16,837
14 days−$14,527
30 days−$12,617
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Virtus.pro 65¢ 100¢ $73 $113 +$40 (+55%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 53¢ 100¢ $55 $103 +$48 (+88%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Mattia Bellucci 61¢ 100¢ $60 $98 +$38 (+63%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 2 Winner TDK 55¢ 88¢ $55 $88 +$32 (+59%)
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs Virtus.pro 59¢ 64¢ $52 $56 +$5 (+9%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner fnatic 50¢ 48¢ $48 $46 −$2 (-5%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 49¢ 48¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 52¢ 30¢ $64 $37 −$27 (-42%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner ex-RUBY 63¢ 57¢ $33 $30 −$3 (-10%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jesper de Jong 63¢ 86¢ $20 $27 +$7 (+36%)
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Shintaro Mochizuki 53¢ 42¢ $34 $27 −$7 (-22%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 53¢ 49¢ $22 $20 −$2 (-7%)
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 54¢ 16¢ $50 $14 −$36 (-71%)
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner Leo Team 62¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 60¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Raptors 51¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs 9INE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs 9INE 46¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage RUSTEC 41¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Bucks 58¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner Hashiras 70¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) Trail Blazers 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Denis Shapovalov 54¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 48¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 60¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs 9INE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe C Jun 14 $92 −$92 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $175 −$178 -101%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-17.5) Jun 14 $43 −$50 -117%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 14 $71 −$71 -100%
Capitals vs. Flames Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $97 −$97 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bruins vs. Sabres Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-18.5) Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Set Handicap: Vallejo (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5) Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 14 $65 −$65 -100%
Counter-Strike: Pitstop crew vs Hermine Esports Club (BO3) - Exort Ser Jun 14 $33 −$43 -128%
Spread: Suns (-17.5) Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Sta Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Devils vs. Stars Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5) Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Stars vs. Wild Jun 14 $56 −$56 -100%
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Suns vs. Knicks Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tu Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Rice Owls vs. East Carolina Pirates Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5) Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5) Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Cl Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Spread: Heat (-27.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$6,935
crypto 1% +$2
tech 0% $0
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 65¢ $1 2m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 63¢ $33 3m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner SELL INOX Division 36¢ $34 4m
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 53¢ $34 8m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 55¢ $5 9m
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Germany (-2.5) AND Côte d'Ivoi BUY 17¢ $28 10m
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Ser BUY Virtus.pro 67¢ $5 14m
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 50¢ $5 15m
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 50¢ $2 15m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 56¢ $5 18m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 48¢ $38 23m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 100¢ $71 24m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 63¢ $20 51m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY INOX Division 57¢ $56 52m
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 2 Winner BUY TDK 55¢ $56 52m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $121 53m
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 59¢ $31 53m
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Ser BUY Virtus.pro 58¢ $48 56m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $89 56m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 59¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 53¢ $56 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 65¢ $46 1h
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald BUY Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 69¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $114 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 43¢ $22 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $6 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics 6¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 63¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 64¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 645 -43.3% -48.7% 30% 29% -55.9%
≤30d 1460 -13.0% -21.3% 49% 47% -25.4%
≤90d 1624 -12.7% -21.0% 49% 47% -24.8%
all 1624 -12.7% -21.0% 49% 47% -24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 47% -24.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 46% -32.0%
15% -35.5% 43% -38.5%
20% -41.8% 34% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $700.48 · official $772.49 · 3500 history records