Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05c9…27e9
other · 239 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$71 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses15 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)239 / 239
History coverage123d
Avg bet$193
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$13
14 days−$20
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $287 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $59 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $146 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $59 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $333 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $587 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $382 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $80 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $211 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $322 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $60 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $205 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $266 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $228 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $345 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $132 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $117 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $521 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $114 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $487 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $467 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 07 $326 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $381 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $514 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $359 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $413 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $473 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $329 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $293 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $223 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $562 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $137 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $256 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 04 $144 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $432 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $200 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 02 $236 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $129 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 02 $258 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 02 $348 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 01 $212 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $244 $0 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $294 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $386 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? May 29 $66 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? May 29 $471 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 29 $494 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 29 $140 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $297 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$32
sports 24% −$19
politics 8% −$5
crypto 7% −$4
culture 6% −$6
economics 5% −$4
world 2% −$1
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $59 17m
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $59 1h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $30 3h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $30 5h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $59 9h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $59 11h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $59 13h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $59 15h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $59 16h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $59 19h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $59 19h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $59 20h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $59 26h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 27h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $60 32h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $60 34h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $60 2d
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $60 2d
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $60 2d
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $60 2d
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $60 2d
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $60 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $60 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $60 2d
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $60 2d
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $60 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $60 3d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $60 3d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $60 3d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 72 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 182 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 239 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1191 history records