Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T16:32:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
05 0x05c6…1aac crypto 117 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$92 (+1%) realized +$92 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%115W / 2L
Drawdown1%max
Avg bet$72per market
Trades / day17.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$58
14 days+$76
30 days+$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +0.8% -8.8% 99% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 117 +1.0% -8.6% 98% 1% -8.7%
≤90d 117 +1.0% -8.6% 98% 1% -8.7%
all 117 +1.0% -8.6% 98% 1% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.6% 1% -8.7%
10% -17.4% 0% -17.4%
15% -25.4% 0% -25.4%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$0 · ×2.32 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×133.59 per $1 lost it wins $133.59
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$92
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses115 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)117 / 117
History coverage9d
Avg bet$72
Trades / day17.8
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 117 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $131 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $141 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $122 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $132 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $131 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $147 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $77 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $127 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $76 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $142 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $48 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $132 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $131 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $92 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $120 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $76 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $77 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $54 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $122 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $127 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $113 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $111 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $106 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $102 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $102 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $131 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $102 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $122 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $132 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $131 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $93 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $54 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $77 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $127 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $142 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $48 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $132 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $131 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $92 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 286 history records