trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 18 | $1,326 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $1,202 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $1,239 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | May 15 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 15 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 15 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 12 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | May 12 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 11 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 11 | $921 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 11 | $1,797 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? | May 11 | $851 | −$5 | -1% |
| Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | May 10 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | May 10 | $849 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | May 10 | $879 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? | May 09 | $947 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | May 09 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 09 | $977 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 09 | $858 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian pres | Apr 07 | $69 | $0 | -1% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 07 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 07 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2? | Apr 03 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic o | Apr 02 | $185 | $0 | -0% |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi | Apr 02 | $25 | $0 | -0% |