Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:07:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05ab…bf47
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$3,487 +177%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,444 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$173
Realized+$3,444
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions4
Markets (closed)4 / 8
History coverage4d
Avg bet$246
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 4 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,820
7 days+$3,444
14 days+$3,444
30 days+$3,444
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $50 $25 −$25 (-50%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $904 +$2,633 +291%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $722 +$187 +26%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $96 +$627 +650%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$3,446
other 9% −$28
crypto 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $51 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $51 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $51 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $51 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 46¢ $9 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 37¢ $10 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 50¢ $10 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 10h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 10h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 10h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 25¢ $904 15h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes 66¢ $909 15h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 2d
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 51¢ $722 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 13¢ $96 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+186.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +216.7% +186.5% 75% 75% +171.2%
≤30d 4 +216.7% +186.5% 75% 75% +171.2%
≤90d 4 +216.7% +186.5% 75% 75% +171.2%
all 4 +216.7% +186.5% 75% 75% +171.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +186.5% 75% +171.2%
10% +159.1% 75% +145.3%
15% +134.1% 50% +121.6%
20% +111.1% 50% +99.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $173.32 · official $173.32 (match) · 19 history records