Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:38:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
05 0x059c…050e sports 86 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (97 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$326 (+2%) realized +$326 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +79% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +38% what you keep after slip
Net edge+38%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate77%66W / 20L
Drawdown19%max
Avg bet$157per market
Trades / day97.1pace
Fees−$201est.
Kalshi-fit63%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,122
7 days+$988
14 days+$1,009
30 days+$1,009
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 54% +$38
other 42% +$959
world 3% +$7
crypto 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (97 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)+62.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +81.9% +64.6% 78% 21% -0.6%
≤30d 86 +79.4% +62.3% 77% 22% -0.8%
≤90d 86 +79.4% +62.3% 77% 22% -0.8%
all 86 +79.4% +62.3% 77% 22% -0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +62.3% 22% -0.8%
10% ← realistic here +46.8% 10% -10.3%
15% +32.6% 9% -19.0%
20% +19.6% 9% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 44% · top 2 53% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +79% · $-wt +10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +36% → late +123% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
9.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$25 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×3.03 per $1 lost it wins $3.03
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$326
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses66 / 20
Est. fees paid−$201
Open positions0
Markets (closed)86 / 86
History coverage14d
Avg bet$157
Trades / day97.1
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit63%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 86 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2 +$43 +2757%
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? Jun 17 $72 +$666 +920%
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $443 +$11 +2%
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $329 +$5 +2%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $405 +$10 +2%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $155 +$3 +2%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $489 −$19 -4%
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $219 +$3 +1%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $562 +$10 +2%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $741 −$156 -21%
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? Jun 16 $213 −$4 -2%
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway? Jun 16 $651 +$130 +20%
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $229 +$2 +1%
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $349 +$7 +2%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $86 +$83 +97%
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $100 +$12 +12%
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? Jun 16 $117 +$16 +14%
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal? Jun 16 $168 +$87 +52%
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $500 +$11 +2%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $136 +$70 +52%
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? Jun 16 $214 +$29 +14%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $373 +$14 +4%
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand? Jun 16 $98 −$9 -9%
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand? Jun 16 $117 −$14 -12%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay? Jun 16 $396 +$25 +6%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay? Jun 15 $269 +$14 +5%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $591 +$18 +3%
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt? Jun 15 $208 +$14 +7%
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $367 +$15 +4%
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt? Jun 15 $19 +$1 +6%
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $201 +$13 +6%
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 15 $80 +$4 +5%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $51 +$1 +3%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $517 +$7 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 $0 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $92 −$22 -24%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $146 −$19 -13%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $124 +$5 +4%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $237 −$15 -6%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $50 −$1 -2%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $140 −$74 -53%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $190 +$15 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $145 +$6 +4%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $673 −$88 -13%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $17 +$2 +11%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $175 +$13 +7%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $305 +$29 +9%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $42 +$4 +8%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $75 +$5 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 42¢ $20 1m
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 31¢ $204 2m
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 31¢ $98 2m
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 31¢ $64 2m
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 31¢ $76 2m
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 31¢ $22 2m
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 31¢ $275 2m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 23¢ $5 2m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 23¢ $18 2m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 20¢ $0 2m
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? BUY Yes 23¢ $47 3m
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? BUY Yes 23¢ $3 3m
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? BUY Yes 1¢ $22 4m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 1¢ $1 4m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 1¢ $0 4m
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 71¢ $19 56m
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 69¢ $2 56m
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 69¢ $16 56m
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 61¢ $69 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 61¢ $34 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 59¢ $35 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 59¢ $66 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 59¢ $0 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 59¢ $101 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 58¢ $86 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 58¢ $7 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 58¢ $7 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 53¢ $132 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 53¢ $20 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 53¢ $78 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1397 history records