Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:07:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x058d…bbab
crypto · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$223 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$181 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$817
Realized−$181
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses11 / 28
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)39 / 41
History coverage234d
Avg bet$106
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 2 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $637 $602 −$35 (-6%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $222 $216 −$6 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-11-08? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 24? No 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-13? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 24? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 7? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $251 $0 −$251 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group D Hashiras 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 15 $115 −$109 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 15 $26 −$22 -84%
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw? May 15 $120 +$12 +10%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? May 15 $30 −$11 -38%
Will Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw? May 15 $43 −$13 -31%
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-15? May 15 $100 −$23 -23%
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qua May 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Apr 30 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Apr 30 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Apr 30 $209 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Apr 30 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Apr 30 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Apr 30 $42 −$19 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Apr 30 $11 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Apr 30 $42 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Apr 30 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Apr 30 $130 +$82 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Apr 30 $58 −$37 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Apr 30 $32 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Apr 30 $30 +$36 +118%
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-13? Dec 13 $35 −$33 -94%
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-13? Dec 13 $35 +$76 +216%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Dec 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-13? Dec 13 $95 +$33 +35%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13? Dec 13 $93 +$116 +124%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-13? Dec 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 7? Dec 06 $251 −$251 -100%
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18? Nov 18 $95 −$52 -54%
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-09? Nov 09 $309 −$279 -90%
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-09? Nov 09 $221 −$138 -63%
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09? Nov 09 $151 +$75 +49%
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-11-08? Nov 08 $93 −$93 -100%
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08? Nov 08 $260 +$1,430 +550%
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Nov 1? Nov 08 $400 −$400 -100%
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31? Oct 23 $47 −$47 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 24? Oct 23 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 24? Oct 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Taylor Swift hold less than 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top Oct 23 $179 −$140 -78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% +$984
crypto 24% −$586
culture 13% −$540
sports 5% −$33
world 1% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 19m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $22 40m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $102 54m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 50¢ $102 56m
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $11 1h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $586 1h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $26 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $10 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $2 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 29d
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 75¢ $132 29d
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $5 29d
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 72¢ $13 29d
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 11¢ $9 29d
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 66¢ $32 29d
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 14¢ $5 29d
Will Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 10¢ $30 29d
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-15? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-37.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 8 -60.1% -63.9% 12% 0% -44.3%
≤90d 21 -48.4% -53.3% 29% 24% -39.9%
all 39 -31.3% -37.9% 28% 26% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.9% 26% -13.7%
10% -43.8% 23% -21.9%
15% -49.2% 18% -29.5%
20% -54.2% 13% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $817.26 · official $817.26 (match) · 159 history records