Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0582…8f33
crypto · 1280 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,456 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,440 · open +$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized+$4,440
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses511 / 667
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1178 / 1280
History coverage8d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day346.9
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1178 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,923
7 days+$2,418
14 days+$4,440
30 days+$4,440
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 32¢ 98¢ $8 $25 +$17 (+208%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7,388
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $8 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $8 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $8 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1004 -3.1% -12.3% 40% 38% +5.3%
≤30d 1178 +3.9% -6.0% 43% 40% +11.0%
≤90d 1178 +3.9% -6.0% 43% 40% +11.0%
all 1178 +3.9% -6.0% 43% 40% +11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover346.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.0% 40% +11.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.0% 38% +0.3%
15% -23.2% 36% -9.3%
20% -30.7% 32% -18.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.62 · official $22.88 · 3500 history records