Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:17:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
05 0x057b…7c78 crypto 278 markets active 1h ago coverage 27d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$338 (+6%) realized +$338 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate83%232W / 46L
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day21.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days+$1
14 days+$300
30 days+$300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$322
other 4% −$14
world 0% −$10
finance 0% −$1
sports 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -9.3% -17.9% 79% 18% -9.4%
≤30d 278 -1.5% -10.9% 83% 31% -4.5%
≤90d 278 -1.5% -10.9% 83% 31% -4.5%
all 278 -1.5% -10.9% 83% 31% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 31% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 14% -13.6%
15% -27.2% 7% -21.9%
20% -34.3% 5% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 41% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +6% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.8 per $1 lost it wins $1.8
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$338
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses232 / 46
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)278 / 278
History coverage27d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day21.7
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 278 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$8 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $75 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $111 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1027 history records