Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:23:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0572…147c
crypto · 65 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$2 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses38 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)65 / 65
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+59%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +45%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +304%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -73%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -46%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +52%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +47%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$4 +349%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$2
other 12% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +4.7% -5.3% 58% 52% -7.7%
≤30d 65 +4.7% -5.3% 58% 52% -7.7%
≤90d 65 +4.7% -5.3% 58% 52% -7.7%
all 65 +4.7% -5.3% 58% 52% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 52% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 48% -16.5%
15% -22.6% 37% -24.6%
20% -30.2% 25% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.59 · official $1.59 (match) · 146 history records