trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -3.3% | -12.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 36% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 36% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 24 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 33% | 0% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.7% | 0% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -23.7% | 0% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -31.1% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -37.9% | 0% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $41 | $41 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $120 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $7 | −$1 | -20% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $37 | +$2 | +5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $9 | −$3 | -30% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $39 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Dec 18 | $26 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 27 | $23 | −$4 | -16% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 08 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Jun 07 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2025 Bolivia presidential el | Jun 07 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 06 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%? | Jun 06 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 05 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will another person win the South Korean election? | Jun 04 | $23 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on June 3? | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | Jun 03 | $24 | $0 | +1% |