Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0562…594f
politics · 17 markets active 228d ago
0.0score
+$3,469,439 +366%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,469,439 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,469,439
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses11 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage361d
Avg bet$55,692
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 0 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? Feb 26 $2,637 −$2,637 -100%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025? Jan 01 $737 +$110 +15%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? Jan 01 $5,405 +$515 +10%
Aspinall vs. Gane Oct 26 $3,217 −$1,118 -35%
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? Aug 16 $2,587 +$151 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? Jul 15 $1,194 +$470 +39%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? Jul 03 $753 +$441 +59%
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? Apr 22 $1,000 −$247 -25%
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%? Nov 17 $929 +$2,730 +294%
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%? Nov 14 $587 −$366 -62%
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House Nov 14 $5,867 +$727,728 +12404%
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 12 $9,747 +$61,221 +628%
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%? Nov 11 $1,556 −$836 -54%
Trump wins every swing state? Nov 10 $4,610 +$147,331 +3196%
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%? Nov 09 $1,274 −$1,153 -90%
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Nov 07 $4,780 +$433,672 +9073%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 07 $899,879 +$2,101,426 +234%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 99% +$3,469,271
other 1% +$816
sports 0% −$1,118
crypto 0% +$470
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 78¢ $132 227d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 79¢ $13 229d
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $145 229d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 79¢ $37 229d
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $37 229d
Aspinall vs. Gane BUY Aspinall 77¢ $2,054 230d
Aspinall vs. Gane BUY Aspinall 76¢ $364 230d
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $364 230d
Aspinall vs. Gane BUY Aspinall 76¢ $52 230d
Aspinall vs. Gane BUY Aspinall 76¢ $306 230d
Aspinall vs. Gane BUY Aspinall 76¢ $315 230d
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $52 230d
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $102 230d
Aspinall vs. Gane BUY Aspinall 76¢ $63 230d
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $102 230d
Aspinall vs. Gane BUY Aspinall 76¢ $63 230d
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $102 230d
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $441 230d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 74¢ $0 265d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 74¢ $320 265d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $10 270d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $200 270d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $112 270d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $13 270d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $10 270d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $38 271d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $1,484 271d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $8 271d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $92 272d
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025? BUY No 76¢ $12 272d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+358.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 17 +406.9% +358.6% 65% 53% +226.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +358.6% 53% +226.1%
10% ← realistic here +314.8% 47% +194.9%
15% +274.7% 47% +166.4%
20% +237.9% 41% +140.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records