Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:08:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0561…e36e
sports · 13 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$4 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$4
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses5 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)7 / 13
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 6 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 39¢ 39¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Sweden (-1.5) Sweden 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Spurs 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +57%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9 +$3 +30%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$5 +95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% $0
other 45% +$2
crypto 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Spain (-2.5) BUY Spain 51¢ $2 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $2 1h
Spread: Sweden (-1.5) BUY Sweden 26¢ $2 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 75¢ $2 3h
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 39¢ $2 3h
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Spurs 73¢ $4 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $2 25h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 87¢ $2 26h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 26h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $2 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 26h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 82¢ $10 27h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 41¢ $5 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 71¢ $5 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $7 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +4.1% -5.8% 71% 71% +3.0%
≤30d 7 +4.1% -5.8% 71% 71% +3.0%
≤90d 7 +4.1% -5.8% 71% 71% +3.0%
all 7 +4.1% -5.8% 71% 71% +3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.8% 71% +3.0%
10% -14.8% 57% -6.9%
15% -23.1% 29% -15.9%
20% -30.6% 29% -24.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.84 · official $9.84 (match) · 22 history records