Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:11:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x055c…6a54
crypto · 332 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$668 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$496 · open +$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$228
Realized+$496
Unrealized+$56
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses93 / 227
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions11
Markets (closed)320 / 332
History coverage53d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 11 History 320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$68
7 days+$354
14 days+$501
30 days+$548
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 61¢ 100¢ $60 $98 +$38 (+64%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 68¢ 89¢ $50 $65 +$15 (+31%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 54¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 10¢ 16¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+60%)
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+83%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 21¢ 23¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes 7¢ 21¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+200%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-34%)
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-56%)
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Costa Rica? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5 Yes 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Northern Ireland? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Nigeria? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$30 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$23 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $62 +$59 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$34 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$50 +933%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$16 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$36 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$15 +140%
Germany leading at halftime? Jun 14 $101 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$32 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$36 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$44 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$24 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$32 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$29 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$21 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$26 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% +$568
crypto 40% −$153
other 10% $0
finance 4% +$147
politics 2% −$2
tech 2% −$1
world 1% +$3
weather 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $21 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $21 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $21 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $121 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $55 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +3.9% -6.0% 38% 38% +3.7%
≤30d 101 +2.9% -6.9% 40% 40% +8.5%
≤90d 320 -13.0% -21.3% 29% 27% +2.2%
all 320 -13.0% -21.3% 29% 27% +2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.3% 27% +2.2%
10% -28.8% 26% -7.5%
15% -35.7% 23% -16.5%
20% -42.0% 22% -24.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $228.43 · official $228.43 (match) · 822 history records