Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:36:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x055a…b09c
crypto · 247 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$18 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses197 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)247 / 247
History coverage22d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 247 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$40
14 days−$94
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$22 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$2 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +4.8% -5.2% 85% 61% -5.2%
≤30d 247 +0.8% -8.8% 80% 61% -8.9%
≤90d 247 +0.8% -8.8% 80% 61% -8.9%
all 247 +0.8% -8.8% 80% 61% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 61% -8.9%
10% -17.5% 32% -17.6%
15% -25.5% 16% -25.5%
20% -32.8% 9% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 496 history records