trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +50.5% | +36.1% | 67% | 67% | +51.3% |
| all | 18 | -11.3% | -19.7% | 44% | 28% | +1.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.7% | 28% | +1.0% |
| 10% | -27.4% | 22% | -8.6% |
| 15% | -34.4% | 17% | -17.5% |
| 20% | -40.9% | 17% | -25.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | No | 51¢ | 44¢ | $2,210 | $1,934 | −$276 (-12%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $154 | $153 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 6¢ | $130 | $64 | −$66 (-51%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 31¢ | 18¢ | $93 | $56 | −$38 (-40%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $77 | −$75 | -98% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | May 05 | $668 | +$532 | +80% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 23 | $90 | +$284 | +315% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Apr 08 | $144 | +$117 | +82% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 04 | $95 | −$95 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Mar 28 | $105 | +$28 | +27% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,040 on the final trading day of Janua | Jan 21 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Jan 13 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | Jan 01 | $541 | +$9 | +2% |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Dec 30 | $218 | −$28 | -13% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | Dec 30 | $31 | −$25 | -81% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Dec 30 | $612 | −$37 | -6% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Dec 26 | $100 | −$36 | -36% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Dec 23 | $300 | +$14 | +4% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 04 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 04 | $888 | +$10 | +1% |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3) | Oct 19 | $155 | −$78 | -50% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) | Oct 19 | $300 | +$58 | +19% |