Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:38:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0543…68b0
crypto · 967 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$150 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$150 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses778 / 189
Open positions0
Markets (closed)967 / 967
History coverage17d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day194.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 967 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$108
14 days−$201
30 days−$150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$7 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$8 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$14 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$150
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 479 -3.1% -12.3% 80% 42% -13.6%
≤30d 967 +0.1% -9.4% 80% 38% -12.4%
≤90d 967 +0.1% -9.4% 80% 38% -12.4%
all 967 +0.1% -9.4% 80% 38% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover194.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 38% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 16% -20.8%
15% -26.0% 7% -28.5%
20% -33.3% 3% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records